Corona Virus - Kung Flu

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baphomet
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Lid geworden op: za 21 aug 2010, 16:08

di 28 jan 2020, 22:45

Beelden Coronavirus dag 6: in één etmaal van 2,887 naar 4,515 infecties, stijging van 56%

Er verschijnen steeds minder beelden op de socials, maar we hebben de nieuwe(re) filmpjes onderstaand weer even achter elkaar gezet. Beelden van dag 1,2 ,3 en 5 hier. Live infectie- en dodenteller hier.

De meeste nieuwe beelden verschijnen onder Chinese hashtags, dus we zijn veelal afhankelijk van Google Translate. Het maakt het verifiëren er ook niet makkelijker op. Montage opent met dit fragment waarin mensen in Jiujiang direct naar de fabriek afreizen voor gezichtsmaskers, die elders nergens meer te verkrijgen zijn. In filmpje 2 is er iemand omgevallen, in filmpje 3 ook, in filmpje 4, ja, ook, maar dan in Shanghai. Filmpje 5 betreft een verwarde man in het Princess Margaret Hospital te Hong Kong, "He had high fever & history of mental illness. He walked to the nurse station, took off his face mask & even attempted to run away from the hospital. He later lay on the floor yelling "Restrain me! Restrain me!" Since most medical staff in the ward were female, no one dared approaching him due to high risk of being physically assaulted." In het afsluitende dobberfilmpje proberen mensen uit Hubei via een rivier aan de quarantaine te ontsnappen, want je bent jong en je wilt wat. Er gaan ook een hoop dubieuze filmpjes rond, waarbij er veel te weinig maskertjes gedragen worden door omstanders om recent te kunnen zijn, zie voorbeelden hier, hier en hier.

Ondertussen ging het aantal *officieel gediagnosticeerde en gepubliceerde* infecties in 24 uur van 2,887 naar 4,515. Dat is een toename van 56%, en het aantal doden steeg met 29% naar 106. Een (hobby-)vergelijking tussen de infection rate van SARS en destijds en het Coronavirus nu, stemt ook weinig hoopvol. En dan wijst epidemioloog dr. Doom ons er ook nog eens op dat het virus van de eerste zes geïsoleerde patiënten (woonden in hetzelfde huis) geen identieke virussen zijn. Dit zou erop wijzen dat het virus muteert en dit zou het inperken van het virus aanzienlijk moeilijker maken. De Lancet-studie die hij citeert concludeert dat het in feite een compleet nieuwe vorm van het virus is, die niet door natuurlijke 'recombination' kan zijn ontstaan: "Our study rejects the hypothesis of emergence as a result of a recent recombination event." Hij benadrukt dat hij geen complottheorieën "zonder bewijs" wil steunen, m a a r... bioengineering. En die Duitser die besmet is geraakt, is zelf dus nooit in China geweest. Hij is besmet door een collega die op 23 januari weer terugvloog naar China.

Maar goed, ongeacht de bron. Zolang dragers van het virus tijdens de incubatieperiode anderen kunnen besmetten zónder symptomen zoals koorts te vertonen, dan hebben al die grenscontroles met thermometers eigenlijk ook helemaal geen zin. Heel misschien, is een beetje constructieve paniek dus eigenlijk wel op z'n plaats.

Kennen we dit raadseltje trouwens nog? Als een groep waterlelies elke dag in omvang verdubbelt, en het 48 dagen zou duren voordat het hele meer bedekt is, op welke dag is het meer dan voor de helft bedekt? Antwoord. Heel veel meer foto's en video's na de breek.

Slapende medici

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Wereldvrede wanneer?



Leerzame staats-tv



Shareholder value

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Dichtbij, is wat het komt

Afbeelding

Off topic: goede film


Via onze roze vrienden van GeenStijl: ->>

https://www.geenstijl.nl/5151670/critical-mass-inbound
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baphomet
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wo 29 jan 2020, 00:04

From the beginning, I want to specify that my model is only for the infection rate. Not death rate, and not confirmed cases by the authorities and governments. It is a mathematical model, based on 4 separate patterns :

-Chinese official number
-The commonly accepted R0 of 2.6 among many epidemiologists
-The Spanish Flu R0 of 1.8
-The weaponized virus R0 > 5

Starting from January 16th, all the patterns, except the one based on an Ro of 2.6 failed to apply.

The R0 = 2.6 pattern still stands, for China. However, considering that China is still allowing free travel among all provinces except Tibet (least populated and most isolated one) and Hubei (the epicenter of the pandemic), the R0 will jump over 3 by Sunday, February 2nd.

For the developed countries, with better hygiene, long history of flu (herd immunization) and high quality medical system, the R0 was skewed (for the time being) to 2.2.

If the developed countries will not stop ALL travel by Sunday, Feb. 2nd, the R0 will jump to 2.6.


Everyone can do their own math, applying an R0 = 2.2, for the develop countries, 2.4 for Asian countries and 2.6 for China, while adjusting the index for infection spread chance to 0.7-0.8.
As an example 10 x 2.2 x 0.7, for developed countries and 10 x 2.2 x 0.8 for SE Asia, South and Central America and Africa.

For those that don't want to do that, here is the infection spread, worldwide (except China mainland), starting with today, January 28th, with all the numbers adjusted :


January 28th 00:00 GMT :
Between 3,000 and 4,000 infected people, in different stages of incubation (1 to 14 days).
Presenting symptoms : 37-38 cases.

January 29th, 00:00 GMT :
Between 5,200 and 7,000 infected people, in different stages of incubation (1 to 14 days).
Presenting symptoms : 67-69 cases.

January 30th, 00:00 GMT : Between 8,000 and 12,000 infected people, in different stages of incubation (1 to 14 days).
Presenting symptoms : 103-106 cases.

January 31st, 00:00 GMT : 12,300 - 20,100 infected people, in different stages of incubation (1 to 14 days).
Presenting symptoms : 158 - 168 cases.

February 1st, 00:00 GMT : 18,900 - 30,900 infected people, in different stages of incubation (1 to 14 days).
Presenting symptoms : 243 - 258

February 2nd, 00:00 GMT : 29,100 - 47,500 infected people, in different stages of incubation (1 to 14 days).
Presenting symptoms : 374 - 397.

If by this date, the traveling between all countries is not stopped, and borders are not closed, the epidemic will accelerate.These are the numbers :

February 3rd, 00:00 GMT : 48,000 - 78,000 infected people, in different stages of incubation (1 to 14 days).
Presenting symptoms : 617 - 655

February 4th, 00:00 GMT : 79,200 - 128,700 infected people, in different stages of incubation (1 to 14 days).
Presenting symptoms : 1,018 - 1,080.

If by this date, the traveling between all countries is not stopped, and borders are not closed, the epidemic will accelerate.These are the numbers :

February 5th, 00:00 GMT : 139,000 - 226,500 infected people, in different stages of incubation (1 to 14 days).
Presenting symptoms : 1,790 - 1,900.


From this date on, the pandemic no longer can be contained, without full quarantine, at least for all major cities across the world. This will come with total economic collapse and the panic that will be widespread.

The huge difference between the number of infected in my model, is because most populated countries are also underdeveloped, and the virus will affect much more people in India and SE Asia.

If full or at last partial quarantine is not implemented by February 5th, in major cities across the world, the pandemic will spread as follow (adjusted for higher R0 and higher index for infection spread chance), with the mention that the numbers will be the median ones :

Feb 6th :345,000 infected with 3,600 presenting symptoms
Feb 7th :690,000 infected with 7,500 presenting symptoms
Feb 8th : 1,435,000 / 15,600
Feb 9th : 2,980,000 / 27,456
Feb 10th: 6,240,000 / 57,100
Feb 11th: 12,979,000 / 118,100
Feb 12th: 27,990,000 / 245,600
Feb 13th: 58,220,000 / 509,600
Feb 14th:121,970,000 /1,060,000
Feb 15th:253,697,000 /2,204,800

From February 16th, multiple health systems across the world will collapse.Hospitals will be overcrowded and unable to test and treat most of the patients.The social fabric will completely collapse, and the governments, if they delayed the quarantines, will have no other choice but to lock-down hundreds of millions of people in major and large to medium cities, with hundreds of millions more self-isolating in smaller cities, towns and villages.

There might be slight variations in my model, if some countries implement some travel restrictions here and there, some quarantines here and there...but anything except total quarantine is not going to work, but only delay the infection by mere DAYS.


I am going to end with what matters the most, for my model to HOPEFULLY fail :

FULL INTERNATIONAL TRAVEL MUST STOP BY FEB.3RD.
FULL LOCAL TRAVEL IN AFFECTED COUNTRIES MUST STOP BY FEB. 5TH.

If the above measures are not taking place, the pandemic will be catastrophic.
https://shorturl.at/eiMVW
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baphomet
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wo 29 jan 2020, 00:08

Afbeelding

:indorock:
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wo 29 jan 2020, 00:11

Harvard Chemistry Chair & Two Chinese Nationals Arrested For Lying About China Ties, Smuggling "Biological Material"

Will this Harvard Chemistry Department Head be remembered as the Aldrich Ames of the modern-day 'Cold War'?

In a shocking revelation made Tuesday afternoon - a revelation that will almost certainly rattle the US-China relationship at an already fragile time - a federal court unsealed indictments against Harvard professor and Chemistry Department Head Charles Lieber, along with two Chinese nationals. One is a Boston University researcher who was once a lieutenant in the People’s Liberation Army, according to prosecutors, and the second was a cancer researcher who tried to smuggle 21 vials of biological materials in his sock - allegedly. Lieber has been arrested, though it's not clear if he's still in custody.

Though the official charge was lying to investigators, Lieber's actions look like an unvarnished attempt at espionage, complete with an extremely seductive monetary reward.



Afbeelding

Professor Lieber

Lieber was reportedly paid $50,000 a month by Wuhan University of Technology for participating in its "Thousand Talents" program, and was given more than $1.5 million to establish a lab and do research at Wuhan University of Technology, according to federal prosecutors in Boston, according to WSJ.

According to prosecutors, Lieber deliberately lied to defense department officials about his "foreign research collaborations."

When Defense Department investigators asked Mr. Lieber in 2018 about his foreign research collaborations, he told them he had never been asked to participate in the Thousand Talents Program, the complaint said. But Mr. Lieber had signed such a talent contract with Wuhan University in 2012, the complaint said.

NIH also asked Harvard about Mr. Lieber’s affiliation with Wuhan that same year, the complaint said. After interviewing Mr. Lieber, Harvard told NIH in January 2019 that Mr. Lieber had no formal affiliation with Wuhan after 2012 and that he had never participated in the Thousand Talents Program, even though Mr. Lieber had a formal relationship with the university through 2017, the complaint said.

In conjunction with the program, Mr. Lieber became a “strategic scientist” at Wuhan University of Technology, according to the complaint. For “significant periods” from 2012 to 2017, his contract called for a $50,000 a month salary on top of $150,000 in living expenses paid by WUT, it said. He was also awarded more than $1.5 million by WUT and the Chinese government to set up a research lab, it said.

“The charges brought by the U.S. government against Professor Lieber are extremely serious,” a Harvard spokesman said Tuesday. “Harvard is cooperating with federal authorities, including the National Institutes of Health, and is initiating its own review of the alleged misconduct. Professor Lieber has been placed on indefinite administrative leave.”

The Trump Administration has made cracking down on Chinese academic and corporate espionage a priority, and has made several arrests of Chinese nationals working in critical roles funneling info back to China. But this is probably the most high-profile case to date, since one of the suspects is a pioneering American scientist.

Interestingly enough, not long after news of the arrests hit the press, another report surfaced claiming China had rejected President Trump's offer of assistance to contain the coronavirus - even as Wuhan is in desperate need of supplies.

Is that just a coincidence?
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/harva ... -smuggling
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wo 29 jan 2020, 00:25

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wo 29 jan 2020, 00:26

Jensen over 't Corona Virus:

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baphomet
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wo 29 jan 2020, 00:27

Adam Curry & John C. Dvorak in The No Agenda Show over 't Corona Virus:

https://mp3s.nashownotes.com/NA-1211-20 ... -Final.mp3
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baphomet
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wo 29 jan 2020, 00:30

Alex Jones heeft het er ook nog even over:

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baphomet
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wo 29 jan 2020, 00:31

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baphomet
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baphomet
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wo 29 jan 2020, 00:32

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baphomet
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wo 29 jan 2020, 00:32

LOL The Simpsons at it again:



:lol:

:homer:

:corona:
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wo 29 jan 2020, 00:36

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